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A classification method for predicting suicide risk

https://doi.org/10.29235/1814-6023-2020-17-2-248-256

Abstract

A model has been developed to classify patients according to the degree of suicidal risk based on social, mental, psychological and biochemical data.

Based on the analysis of 15,996 cases of parasuicides and 2,355 cases of suicides, three patient groups were formed: persons who had suicidal attempt with high probability of death (mainly hanging), persons who had suicidal attempt in other ways, and persons who had diagnosed adjustment disorder and did not have suicidal attempts (comparison group). The groups consisted of 40, 80 and 40 people, respectively.

For all studied patients fixed socio-demographic data, diagnosis, determined individual and characterological features, measured lipid metabolism in peripheral blood. A total of 32 factors were investigated. A model has been developed to classify patients according to the degree of suicidal risk based on these data.

The most important factors for classifying patients by risk of suicide are pronounced motivation for suicide, the type of mental disorder and the type of temperament.

About the Authors

S. V. Davidouski
Belarusian Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education
Belarus
Siarhey V. Davidouski – Ph. D. (Med.), Assistant Professor


J. A. Ibragimova
Belarusian State Medical University
Belarus
Janna A. Ibragimova – Ph. D. (Biol.), Head of the Laboratory


A. V. Goncharik
Belarusian State Medical University
Belarus
Аntonina V. Goncharik – Senior researcher


L. V. Kartun
Belarusian State Medical University
Belarus
Ludmila V. Kartun – Senior researcher


N. N. Leonov
Institute of Sociology of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus
Belarus
Nikolay N. Leonov – Ph. D. (Phys. and Math.), Leading researcher


L. I. Danilova
Belarusian Medical Academy of Postgraduate Education
Belarus
Larisa I. Danilova – D. Sc. (Med.), Professor


V. V. Kuzhal
Republican Research and Practice Mental Health Center
Belarus
Vadzim V. Kuzhal – Psychiatrist-narcologist


I. S. Zalesskaya
Republican Research and Practice Mental Health Center
Belarus
Irina S. Zalesskaya – Head of the Department


A. N. Tretyk
Republican Research and Practice Mental Health Center
Belarus
Andrey N. Tretyk – Head of the Department


Yu. M. Mikitski
Science and Technology Park “BelBiograd” of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus
Belarus
Yuri M. Mikitski – Director


References

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Review

For citations:


Davidouski S.V., Ibragimova J.A., Goncharik A.V., Kartun L.V., Leonov N.N., Danilova L.I., Kuzhal V.V., Zalesskaya I.S., Tretyk A.N., Mikitski Yu.M. A classification method for predicting suicide risk. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus, Medical series. 2020;17(2):248-256. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.29235/1814-6023-2020-17-2-248-256

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ISSN 1814-6023 (Print)
ISSN 2524-2350 (Online)